The China Electricity Council (hereinafter referred to as “China Telecomâ€) released a “Summary Report on the Rolling Research of the 12th Five-Year Plan for Power Industry†on its website yesterday, saying that it is considering the rise in coal prices, making up for historical debts and the net assets of power companies. Under the condition of a yield of 8%, the reasonable average selling price in 2015 should be 728.7 yuan / thousand kWh, an increase of 157.5 yuan / thousand kWh compared with 2010, an increase of 27.6%, an average annual growth of 5.0%. The "Report" also stated that China's current electricity price level is low. In recent years, China's electricity price has increased slightly. The analysis of the electricity price adjustment in the "Report" is based on China's power supply construction plan during the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" and "Thirteenth Five-Year Plan" period, and the electricity price subsidy quota based on this. According to the researcher of China Electricity and Electricity Association, according to the foreign energy price relationship, in recent years, China's sales price has increased slightly, lower than the international level, about 50% of the international level. The price of gasoline has increased rapidly. In 2010, it has reached the international average. At the level, the price of industrial natural gas is lower than the international level, about 70% of the international price, and the price of thermal coal is the fastest, which has been synchronized with foreign prices. The data shows that in 2010, China's average on-grid electricity price was 384.6 yuan / thousand kWh, accounting for 67.4% of the sales price, the transmission and distribution price was 186.6 yuan / thousand kWh, accounting for 32.6% of the sales price, the sales price was 571.2. Yuan / thousand kWh (including tax excluding government funds and additional). The "Report" proposes that by 2020, the sales price should be 831.7 yuan / thousand kWh, an increase of 103.0 yuan / thousand kWh compared with 2015, an increase of 14.1%, an average annual growth of 2.7%. According to the rolling planning benchmark program during the “Twelfth Five-Year Planâ€, during the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†period, the national power industry investment reached 6.1 trillion yuan, an increase of 88.3% over the “Eleventh Five-Year Planâ€, including 3.2 trillion yuan in power investment. It accounts for 52% of the total investment, and the power grid investment is 2.9 trillion yuan, accounting for 48%. During the “Thirteenth Five-Year Plan†period, the national power industry investment reached 7.1 trillion yuan, an increase of 16.4% over the “Twelfth Five-Year Planâ€, including 3.6 trillion yuan in power investment, accounting for 51% of total investment, and 3.5 trillion yuan in power grid investment. 49%. According to the above plan, it is assumed that the prices of thermal power, wind power, biomass and solar energy will remain unchanged in 2015 and 2020 according to the current benchmark electricity price. In the case of only considering power generation subsidies and not considering power system subsidies, the amount of renewable energy subsidies will be 2015. For the 48.6 billion yuan, it is necessary to levy a renewable energy price of 8.62 yuan / kWh, an average annual increase of 16.6%. Among them, the wind power subsidy amount is 38.5 billion yuan, and an additional 6.82 yuan/kWh is required, which accounts for about 80% of the total renewable energy price. In 2020, the subsidy amount will be 108.1 billion yuan, and the renewable energy price will be increased by 14.68 yuan/kWh, with an average annual growth rate of 11%. Among them, the wind power subsidy amounted to 72.8 billion yuan, which required an additional 9.89 yuan/kWh, which accounted for about 67% of the total renewable energy price. Therefore, compared with the planning research report of CEC 2010, the increase in the proportion of new energy installed capacity and the increase in investment in coal-fired environmental protection equipment has led to an increase in investment in the power industry, and a corresponding increase in the level of online and sales electricity prices.
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