Modern agriculture, emerging industries, modern service industries, industrial upgrading, the four main lines to build a new economic fulcrum
On March 16, Xinhua News Agency was authorized to issue the Outline of the Twelfth Five-Year Plan for National Economic and Social Development of the People's Republic of China. Experts and scholars said in an interview that the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" outline clearly outlines the Chinese industrial roadmap for the next five years from the policy direction. That is to say, we should focus on the development of modern agriculture, the transfer and upgrading of traditional manufacturing industries, the cultivation and development of emerging industries, and the improvement of the scale and efficiency of modern service industries, and the construction of the fulcrum of the next stage of China's economy.
The reporter interviewed a number of economists and industry experts. They generally believe that the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" conforms to the general trend of the adjustment of the world industrial structure, which will make the transformation of China's economic development mode and the adjustment of economic structure a benign cycle.
In an interview, several authoritative experts said that after the outbreak of the international financial crisis, the central government quickly introduced the “4 trillion†investment plan. When the financial crisis is still raging, the top ten industrial revitalization plans are released one after another. This is a policy of getting out of the crisis, and it is also a technological transformation of the manufacturing industry and an industrial upgrading. These industrial revitalization plans will be consistent with the spirit of the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†on “improving manufacturing†and need to be further implemented under the guidance of the “Twelfth Five-Year Planâ€.
"After the financial crisis broke out, due to new changes in the world's political and economic landscape, there have been some new trends worthy of attention in the international industrial transfer. These changes are worthy of careful consideration by China in the next five years." Zheng Xiongwei, Global Executive Chairman, Asia Pacific Presidents Association It is said that after the financial crisis, the world industrial pattern will present two major characteristics. First, international industrial technology upgrading and regional transfer will be carried out in depth; second, the importance of emerging industries will become increasingly prominent.
Experts said that in the new five years, accelerating the development of modern agriculture is quite critical. This is the basis for the smooth progress of structural adjustment of other industrial sectors. The 12th Five-Year Plan outlines that it is necessary to accelerate the transformation of agricultural development methods, improve agricultural comprehensive production capacity, and resist risks. Ability and market competitiveness. Xu Xiaoqing, deputy director of the Rural Economic Research Department of the Development Research Center of the State Council, said: "According to the spirit of the '12th Five-Year Plan', in the new stage, we must highlight the word 'accelerate', that is, the development of modern agriculture can no longer use traditional methods. The way of development should be changed, focusing on the power of financial capital, the power of human capital, and the input of scientific and technological power."
Lu Zhongyuan, deputy director of the Development Research Center of the State Council, said: "According to the plan, an important policy orientation for traditional manufacturing is to conform to the development trend of international industries, adopt differentiated regional economic guidance policies, and implement the orderly transfer of traditional industries. The central and western regions are increasingly important in undertaking industrial transfers."
The expectation of international authorities is that another characteristic of the post-crisis world industrial pattern is that the share and importance of emerging industries will be further highlighted.
"From the spirit of the 12th Five-Year Plan, we can see that China needs to accelerate the development and industrialization of the core and key technologies of emerging industries and avoid falling into an unfavorable international division of labor system." Institute of Industrial Science and Technology Development, China Science and Technology Strategy Research Institute Deputy Director Liu Feng said.
The "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" outlines that, based on the characteristics of strategic emerging industries, based on China's national conditions, science and technology, and industrial base, the current stage will focus on cultivating and developing energy conservation and environmental protection, new generation information technology, biology, high-end equipment manufacturing, and new energy. New materials, new energy vehicles and other industries.
"According to the previous planning of the country, by 2015, the added value of the seven strategic emerging industries will increase to 8% of China's GDP and will rise to 15% by 2020. It is expected that strategic emerging industries will be in the future. In the past five years, he has gradually become the leading force of the national economy," said Wang Changlin, director of the Institute of Industry of the National Development and Reform Commission.
According to the research group of the “Key Industry Adjustment, Transformation and Upgrading†of the Development Research Center of the State Council, the output value of new energy industry is expected to reach 400 billion yuan in the next three years; the output value of environmental protection industry in 2015 will reach 2 trillion yuan; the scale of information network and application market will at least reach Several trillion yuan; and digital TV terminals and services will drive nearly 2 trillion yuan in output value in the next six years.
Experts and scholars also said that the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" outlines "explain the development of modern service industry", which is a major task for China's post-industrialization period, which is related to the integrity and efficiency of the modern industrial system. . (down to the second edition)
Tang Yuan, director of the Trade and Industry Department of the State Council Research Office, said: "In the next ten years, China is likely to increase from the current per capita GD P4000 to about 10,000 US dollars and enter the ranks of developed countries. Where is our development space in the future? The second industry, this is not realistic or not, because the secondary industry is a high-energy, high-energy-consuming industry."
The data shows that China's primary, secondary and tertiary production accounts for the proportion of GDP, the secondary industry is still between 45% and 50%, the tertiary industry accounts for 40%, and the primary industry accounts for 10% to 20%. In developed countries, the ratio of three industries to GDP is generally 70% to 80%, and the United States accounts for 77%.
Zheng Xinli, executive vice president of China International Economic Exchange Center, said in an interview with reporters: "We urgently need to change the situation that economic growth is over-reliant on the secondary industry, accelerate the development of the tertiary industry, and coordinate the structure of the primary, secondary and tertiary industries."
Most experts and scholars suggest that in the next five years, China needs to accelerate the development of modern service industry from three aspects. First, we must vigorously develop the service-oriented service industry, focusing on the development of the production service industry, and drive the development of our entire service industry; It is necessary to standardize and upgrade the service industry oriented to life, and vigorously develop community service industries such as community health, housekeeping services, and child care and child care; the third is to improve the service industry oriented to rural areas.
The experts also pointed out that the "12th Five-Year Plan" plan also highlights an important aspect of China's industrial development planning, that is, to comprehensively improve the level of informatization. We must accelerate the building of a broadband, convergent, and secure next-generation national information infrastructure, promote the in-depth integration of informationization and industrialization, and promote informationization in all areas of the economy and society.
"This will accelerate the upgrading of China's traditional manufacturing industry, the development of strategic emerging industries, and the pace of innovation in modern service industries, so that the efficiency of industrial restructuring can be improved." Zheng Xinli said.
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