The US Department of Commerce and other parties will decide whether to support US corporate claims as soon as possible around November 9. Once this round of trade war starts, it will affect the export of 75 major PV companies in China to the United States. Just last week, seven photovoltaic manufacturers in the United States jointly filed a letter with the US Department of Commerce, demanding a “double-reverse†investigation against Chinese companies. European and American countries seem to have difficulties. Solyndra, a California solar panel manufacturer that was backed by the US Department of Energy's $535 million loan guarantee, was affected by low-priced Chinese products and recently announced that it would close down, becoming the trigger for this round of trade. But the days of Chinese PV companies are not good. In October, Wuxi Suntech and Jiangxi Saiwei and other giants successively broke down bankruptcy rumors; Wuxi Suntech, Saiwei LDK, Jinko Energy and Jingao Solar, etc., this year's stock price has turned sharply. Suntech Power, which is listed in the US, has plunged from the peak of $90 per share to about $2. The industry is too loud to say anything. “There are US companies that have launched a “double-reverse†survey on China's PV industry. We attach great importance to this.†Shi Zhengrong, chairman and CEO of Wuxi Suntech Power Holdings Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as “Shangde Powerâ€), said in an interview recently The industry needs a unified market rules, including the settlement mechanism of trade disputes.†Peng Xiaofeng, chairman of Jiangxi LDK Group, told this reporter: “The current PV industry is changing to the buyer market, and the US government is also changing from the market to avoid China's PV industry has influenced the local PV industry and other factors, and set trade barriers from various aspects such as policies. The Chinese Ministry of Commerce stated that it regrets the US approach and reminds the US that its PV industry exports far exceed the import value. Recently, the China Chamber of Commerce for Import and Export of Mechanical and Electrical Products also organized industry enterprises to hold emergency response meetings. The relevant person in charge said that they have entered the substantive response stage and lawyers have begun to intervene. "Double-Reverse" Survey SolarWorld, one of the initiators of the US, said in a statement that China's PV products are dumped more than 100%, and Chinese solar product manufacturers receive a large amount of illegal subsidies from the Chinese government. China should report such subsidies to the WTO, but they have not done so. SolarWorld is a German-based photovoltaic company with several solar panel production sites in Oregon. Recently, due to poor market conditions, the company closed its production line in Oklahoma. Previously, the company decided to close its component manufacturing facility in Camarillo, Calif., while closing a production line at its German headquarters. The US pointed out that domestic banks supported by the Chinese government last year provided a $25 billion loan extension to China's large PV manufacturers, and said that in the clean energy and solar photovoltaic industries, the Chinese government has provided 200 “illegal subsidies†to relevant domestic manufacturers. ", including exchange rate protection. Accordingly, seven solar photovoltaic companies, such as SolarWorld, requested the US Department of Commerce to impose tariffs on Chinese solar cells and modules. According to the procedures of the US Department of Commerce, once the investigation is initiated in early November, it takes 4-6 months to make a preliminary decision and approximately one year to complete the entire survey. During this period, the prospects for Chinese PV companies to export to the US will be greatly affected. However, this trade war is aimed at solar photovoltaic cells produced by Chinese manufacturers of greater than or equal to 20 microns, excluding thin film photovoltaic cells using cadmium telluride, as well as selenium-indium-copper solar cells and amorphous silicon solar cells. The United States has always been a major market for the photovoltaic industry after Europe. Once it falls, the consequences can be imagined. Today, Wuxi Suntech, China's largest PV module company, ranks first in the US market. Wang Yuehai, executive secretary of the New Energy Chamber of Commerce of the All-China Federation of Industry and Commerce, said that whether Chinese companies go to the United States to build factories can be immune to anti-dumping. It is not known, depending on the specific situation. Sino-US subsidy sputum ä»— The same as most Chinese and American trade wars, the slobber between Chinese and American PV companies started ahead of the trade war. The United States pointed out that in the above-mentioned 25 billion bank loan extension, Wuxi Suntech received $12 billion, and Changzhou Trina Solar received $4.4 billion. These funds have enabled the two companies to rapidly scale capacity and lower prices. In this regard, Wuxi Suntech side firmly denied. Zhang Jianmin, Suntech's investor relations manager, is extremely angry. He asked reporters, "With your understanding of the solar photovoltaic industry, do you think the state has subsidies for the photovoltaic industry?" said Sylva, who presided over the US Department of Energy loan program, China last year. The loan amount given to its large solar-powered manufacturer is $30 billion, which is 20 times that of the US government. Li Junfeng, deputy director of the Energy Research Institute of the National Development and Reform Commission, revealed that on the evening of September 27, he received a call from three US failed new energy companies to question the Chinese government's subsidy of 50 billion US dollars to domestic PV companies. He responded that the economic crisis of the year. At that time, China introduced a 4 trillion economic stimulus policy. The central government has taken out 100 billion yuan. It is no small burden. How can it easily pay 50 billion US dollars to subsidize the photovoltaic industry? Wang Yuehai explained to reporters that the United States may classify some of China's stimulus policies for the solar industry as subsidies, such as some concessions that PV companies receive on land and electricity prices, but the proportion of these concessions is too small to be counted as subsidies. Wang believes that China's price advantage in the panel is mainly due to the decline in raw material prices in China's solar industry, the improvement of technology and the low cost of the Chinese labor force. Li Shengmao, a researcher at China Investment Consulting, said that if you must find some subsidy-related projects, you can only find subsidies for the application chain of the industrial chain. For example, in the “Golden Sun Projectâ€, the power generation enterprises purchase and install the power plant equipment. There is a 50% subsidy, which is 70% in remote areas. However, he stressed that the beneficiaries of this policy subsidy are power generation companies that do not benefit any upstream production companies. According to a survey conducted by CIC consultants, all domestic preferential policies account for less than 5% of the profits of PV companies, which has little impact on the pricing of PV products. A senior executive of a national photovoltaic leading company told reporters that most of China's PV companies are private enterprises: “The government has already thanked the government for not collecting taxes.†At present, the total installed capacity of solar energy in the United States is only 20 GW. The global market is 5%, and the annual solar PV products exported to the United States account for less than 10% of China's total exports. "The US market will not do it if it is not done." However, USITC data shows that China has exported a total of 1.4 billion US dollars of solar panels to the United States in the first seven months of this year, more than the $1.2 billion in the whole year. Wang Yuehai told reporters that in the entire photovoltaic industry chain, the panel is a low value-added link and is the most advantageous part of China. This is also the reason why some US companies will simply choose to anti-dump in the battery sector. Overcapacity is difficult to digest SolarWorld CEO Frank Asbeck said in an interview that does not rule out the possibility of filing a complaint in the German market, and called on governments to intervene. The saliva is returned to the mouth. The trade dispute has made Chinese companies more worried that once Europe is following the example of the United States, who will digest the excess solar panel production capacity in China? The main customers of China's solar photovoltaic companies are in Europe, and exports to Europe account for more than 90%. In recent years, the traditional government electricity price subsidies in this huge market have been continuously reduced, the industry capital chain is extremely tight, and demand is rapidly shrinking. In 2010, Germany reduced the incentive quota for the photovoltaic industry three times, and it is expected to continue to reduce by 15% in 2012. In 2011, the Italian government approved a new PV on-grid price, but then it was stranded. Spain and France have reduced incentives for the photovoltaic industry, resulting in a sharp decline in national installed capacity. “The adjustment of the policy has led to a sharp decline in the total installed capacity in the European market,†said Ash Sharma, Director of Global PV Market Research at IMS Research. “The incentives for countries in the PV industry are decreasing, and this situation is likely to continue in the future.†The opposite development of demand is that Chinese PV companies are doing their utmost to expand production capacity. Li Junfeng, deputy director of the Energy Research Institute of the National Development and Reform Commission, said in Wuxi: "In recent years, domestic demand for PV demand has been too optimistic, and production has been carried out with horsepower, resulting in overcapacity. Even if the new plant is not built within three years, the current capacity can still meet 2015. Total demand for the global PV market in the year.†According to research firm Solarbuzz, China plans to expand its solar installed capacity to 10 GW in 2015, more than 10 times the 900 MW at the end of last year. Since the second quarter of this year, although the global economy has turned sharply, several large Chinese factories have maintained their original expansion plans. Next year, global solar panel production capacity will grow by 50% compared to this year, while market demand will grow by up to 25%. People in the industry recognize that reducing production costs and reducing dependence on subsidies is the way to sustainable PV development. "We are the boss in the industry, but we have also paid a lot for the boss." Shi Zhengrong said, "Suntech will continue to follow the established strategy to achieve the continuous decline in solar photovoltaic costs."
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